Congress 3 Analysis
Prediction (Allen County only)
Souder............... 33,000..... 59%
Hayhurst.................. 23000 ......41%
Actual
Souder......... 41901..... 50%
Hayhurst........... 41163 ......50%
District Total (This is last nights number with 96% reported)
Souder............... 90865..... 55%
Hayhurst........... 75481 ......45%
I was off by the most of any race with this one. It illustrates Souder's vulnerability and the Democrats GOTV efforts in Allen county. It also illustrates how weak Democrats are in the rest of this Congressional District.
This was probably the best a Democratic candidate can do in this district. Click here to read my pre-election analysis on what Hayhurst needed to do to win.
Souder............... 33,000..... 59%
Hayhurst.................. 23000 ......41%
Actual
Souder......... 41901..... 50%
Hayhurst........... 41163 ......50%
District Total (This is last nights number with 96% reported)
Souder............... 90865..... 55%
Hayhurst........... 75481 ......45%
I was off by the most of any race with this one. It illustrates Souder's vulnerability and the Democrats GOTV efforts in Allen county. It also illustrates how weak Democrats are in the rest of this Congressional District.
This was probably the best a Democratic candidate can do in this district. Click here to read my pre-election analysis on what Hayhurst needed to do to win.
posted by Indiana Pundit at 8:53 AM
1 Comments:
"This was probably the best a Democratic candidate can do in this district"
I don't think predicting that this district will never fall to a Democrat is very wise. Early on, you said Souder would win in a landslide (I believe it was 20 points or so) and I tried to tell you that analysis was wrong.
I don't feel that Hayhurst ran as stong a campaign as he could of or this race would've been even closer. Souder is not that popular here - especially in Allen County. The right candidate and the right campaign can beat him...
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