Souder vs Hayhurst 3rd Congressional District
This campaign had left many Republicans wondering how secure their man was. Hayhurst has been a popular city councilman. He also lives in the Aboite area and weakens Souder's strength in that area. This should be the best showing for a Democrat in this race for a long time.
Hayhurst needs to be looked at by voters as a moderate Democrat in order to win. He was doing a good job of it until last week's debate. It wasn't his stance on immigration or abortion that did him in that night. He made the fatal error of questioning the values of his opponent's base when he stated that there was a fundamental problem with conservatives wanting the government to intervene with the issue of the legalization of abortion.
Hayhurst needed to weaken Souder's base in order to win. With that statement he lost them.
Both candidates have done negative ads this cycle with Hayhurst starting them since the debate. You always want voters focused on you the week before the election and on election day. Going negative at this time doesn't do that and is a critical error.
Seeing as how Republican the rest of the 3rd District is Hayhurst needs to win Allen County by a large margin. I don't see him pulling the 30-40% beyond the Allen County Democratic base in order to do so.
Pick:Souder
Hayhurst needs to be looked at by voters as a moderate Democrat in order to win. He was doing a good job of it until last week's debate. It wasn't his stance on immigration or abortion that did him in that night. He made the fatal error of questioning the values of his opponent's base when he stated that there was a fundamental problem with conservatives wanting the government to intervene with the issue of the legalization of abortion.
Hayhurst needed to weaken Souder's base in order to win. With that statement he lost them.
Both candidates have done negative ads this cycle with Hayhurst starting them since the debate. You always want voters focused on you the week before the election and on election day. Going negative at this time doesn't do that and is a critical error.
Seeing as how Republican the rest of the 3rd District is Hayhurst needs to win Allen County by a large margin. I don't see him pulling the 30-40% beyond the Allen County Democratic base in order to do so.
Pick:Souder
posted by Indiana Pundit at 2:32 PM
3 Comments:
Hayhurst has made many amateur mistakes.
Anyway, don't put Hayhurst in Aboite. He lives in Wayne Township.
Aboiters don't claim him. That will be shown on Election Day.
If Souder's going to win a rout, why have the national republicans just dropped another $75k in ad buys?? Me thinks their internal polling must show Souder under 50%.
I don't see it as questioning the values - more like questioning the hypocrisy of Souder's statements. Throughout the debate Souder consistently stated that the government shouldn't be making decisions for people. Yet when it comes to abortion that's EXACTLY what he's advocating.
The reality is, anyone who thinks abortion is the #1 issue wasn't going to vote for Hayhurst anyway.
One spot we do agree on is that late negative ads have little impact. Negative advertising should be done early in the cycle as that's when it's most effective. Souder knows this and has been hitting Hayhurst w/ his WOWO ads for quite some time...
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