State House 80 Analysis

Prediction
Howell.................... 3000.... 42%
GiaQuinta........ ..4000... 55%
Enders.......................200.......3%

Actual
Howell.................... 2819.... 32%
GiaQuinta........ ..5777... 64%
Enders.......................332.......4%

I think this was a combination of several factors. First, Howell was a 3-time candidate for this seat. The old saying "3rd time is a charm" doesn't apply in politics. More often than not a 3-time candidate loses steam as there are fewer undecided voterss at the beginning of the campaign. Second, the robo-call issue may have played a factor but that is speculative. Finally, the most probable culprit was the Democrat push in Wayne township. Click here for pre-election analysis of this race.