Indiana Pundit

 

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

County Council 4 Analysis

Prediction
Miller ...................10500 ..70%
Cline .........................4500... 30%

Actual
Miller ...................13497 ..62%
Cline .........................8418... 38%

At first glance it would appear that I did the same thing in the Recorder's prediction. That's not the case though. Cline's numbers matched turnout in other races in the same area. Miller's did not. It appears that Republicans who turned out for the other races didn't do so for Miller. Whether this is a statement about Miller or the uninspiring campaigning done by both candidates remains to be seen. Click here for pre-election analysis.

I'll have to compare the numbers for Sam Talarico in next year's city council race to find the answers to that question. I expect Talarico's numbers in the aboite area to match Miller's. Should Miller's be worse than Talarico's then it was the race. Should both underperform then the lower percentage is attributed to the candidate. Stay tuned as I will look at this race again after the FW municipal primary.

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