Mayoral Potentials - Part I
A few weeks ago Nikki Kelly sniffed out some rumors about who wants to be mayor. She name-dropped people such as John Crawford, Randy Borror, Matt Kelty, and Nelson Peters for the GOP ticket. On the DEM side she had just Graham Richard and John Shoaff (I'll ad in Geoff Paddock in this article for good measure). So what are the odds of any of these guys taking the office a year from now?
John Crawford - He's been on the FW city council as an at-large member for years and has taken a visible role on the "brain-drain" issue as well as the city's role in the consolidation efforts.
His name was no surprise. Remember all those big vote for Crawford signs? His campaign efforts went well beyond what he needed to do as the highest vote-getter for Republicans. It had been rumored that he wanted to challenge Tom Wyss for state senate but the mayor's office would fall in line to his aspirations.
He's got the money and name recognition to beat just abot anybody on the Republican ticket. But he's also viewed as a moderate which will keep him from unifying the conservative base behind him. His involvement in the consolidation efforts will also hurt him as well in the Aboite area. Many voters are equating consolidation to annexation.
Randy Borror - Randy really has no chance at all. His name recognition outside of his district is small and within his district there are some issues. In 2004 he beat out a college kid in the primary. But that college kid took a larger chunk out of his total than should have happened. John Zimmerman spent less than $500 and took more than 15%. Thats about 10% more than he should have gotten. To make matters worse Borror and Nelson Peters share a lot of the same base. The two will split their base with Nelson receiving the lion's share.
Should Nelson run I don't expect Randy put his name in.
Nelson Peters - Nelson probably has the second highest fundraising capability of the mentioned possible candidates. As mentioned earlier. He also has run the most recent campaign of any of the other possibles. That plays into his favor. I think he is a strong candidate.
There is a lot going on in the commissioner's office right now. I don't think Nelson would leave his current position with it in its current state. Its probably a 50-50 than he runs for mayor.
Matt Kelty - Matt is the only one actually state his candidacy. That said it allowed him to get a few names behind him including the #2 GOP money man, Don McArdle. Its also given him the jump on starting his campaign.
He is considered a political neophyte in some circles having only run (and lost) in one race. But the context of that race raised some eyebrows. The timing of this candidacy is off. Had he run in 2003 his name recognition to that race would have been much better than it is today.
As of right now there is no real clear front-runner among Republican candidates for FW mayor. Tomorrow I will discuss the Democrat possibles.
John Crawford - He's been on the FW city council as an at-large member for years and has taken a visible role on the "brain-drain" issue as well as the city's role in the consolidation efforts.
His name was no surprise. Remember all those big vote for Crawford signs? His campaign efforts went well beyond what he needed to do as the highest vote-getter for Republicans. It had been rumored that he wanted to challenge Tom Wyss for state senate but the mayor's office would fall in line to his aspirations.
He's got the money and name recognition to beat just abot anybody on the Republican ticket. But he's also viewed as a moderate which will keep him from unifying the conservative base behind him. His involvement in the consolidation efforts will also hurt him as well in the Aboite area. Many voters are equating consolidation to annexation.
Randy Borror - Randy really has no chance at all. His name recognition outside of his district is small and within his district there are some issues. In 2004 he beat out a college kid in the primary. But that college kid took a larger chunk out of his total than should have happened. John Zimmerman spent less than $500 and took more than 15%. Thats about 10% more than he should have gotten. To make matters worse Borror and Nelson Peters share a lot of the same base. The two will split their base with Nelson receiving the lion's share.
Should Nelson run I don't expect Randy put his name in.
Nelson Peters - Nelson probably has the second highest fundraising capability of the mentioned possible candidates. As mentioned earlier. He also has run the most recent campaign of any of the other possibles. That plays into his favor. I think he is a strong candidate.
There is a lot going on in the commissioner's office right now. I don't think Nelson would leave his current position with it in its current state. Its probably a 50-50 than he runs for mayor.
Matt Kelty - Matt is the only one actually state his candidacy. That said it allowed him to get a few names behind him including the #2 GOP money man, Don McArdle. Its also given him the jump on starting his campaign.
He is considered a political neophyte in some circles having only run (and lost) in one race. But the context of that race raised some eyebrows. The timing of this candidacy is off. Had he run in 2003 his name recognition to that race would have been much better than it is today.
As of right now there is no real clear front-runner among Republican candidates for FW mayor. Tomorrow I will discuss the Democrat possibles.
posted by Indiana Pundit at 11:06 AM
14 Comments:
whatever happened to Okeson???
Which one?
Peters - maybe
Borror - who?
Crawford - Nice guy, maybe
Kelty - Nice guy, ZERO experience. Not a prayer..
I say let's put Linda back on the ticket.
Tim Berry should have come back to run for Mayor.
AWB - Linda was a bad candidate. You stand a better chance of winning than she does.
Tim is happy working from Indy. He's closer to running for Governor than he is mayor. This would be a backward step in his political career
I say let's put Linda back on the ticket.
PLEASE do!!! I just love a good lock-out.
Bob Armstrong's available.
A man with experience.
Okay, if you don't like Linda, how about Mitch Harper. He has the experience, the temperament AND he's a lawyer ;-)
I think Doug Foy should run
Foy's your boy
Neil Moore has been approached to run by the GOP leadership, he is considering it at this point. A recent poll has his name #2 next to Paul Helmke in name recognition across the city. It was a scientific poll. I think he could win. He has a PHD and everyone seems to like him.
ROACH FOR MAYOR!how hard could it be? it sure cant get any worse. it might even get better around here.
find out 11:45 last filing day. but till then, start saving your campaign contributions now.
TheMan -
That's just goofy.
Neil Moore does not have a base in the Republican Party.
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